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Sam Pearson is a retired Army Colonel with a variety of experience in both government and private sectors. As arguably one of the World's foremost military logisticians, he has been responsible for the on time delivery of supplies and services worth billions of dollars. After service in Southwest Asia, he was hand picked to support logistics operations in support of earthquake relief operations in Haiti. Pearson now serves as a consultant and volunteer mentor for students seeking their doctorates in advance statistical analysis.

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Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me!
Sam Pearson 6/21/2021 2:02 PM
I had to go back to my father and admit to the failure of the business which he said sounded a little too good to be true. I had to borrow $600 so that I could stay in school. He did let me repay him the next summer at only 6% interest (this was a great interest rate, remember the “Carter years”). He told me that it is not unusual to be a fool once, just don’t let it happen a second time to the same set of conditions. He then gave me one of his Famous Quotes, “Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me!”


Science Exposes Wuhan China Virus
Sam Pearson 6/9/2021 5:11 AM
Dr. Alina Chan, Broad Institute, MIT pointed out a detail no one else had noticed: COVID-19 contains an uncommon genetic sequence that has been used by genetic engineers in the past to insert genes into coronaviruses without leaving a trace, and it falls at the exact point that would allow experimenters to swap out different genetic parts to change the infectivity. The statistical likelihood of 4 positively charged amino acids in sequence is mathematically the equivalent of flipping a coin 208 times and getting heads each time, it is the dead giveaway that the virus was created rather than a natural occurrence.


When do parents accept responsibility?
Sam Pearson 6/2/2021 5:03 AM
"The worst phone call of my life," Angelica Green, who heard from her 24-year-old son after he was shot in the abdomen early Sunday morning, told the Miami Herald.


Colonel Sam Pearson on Memorial Day Thoughts
Sam Pearson 5/30/2021 3:01 PM
Memorial Day needs to be a solemn remembrance of the brave Americans who have laid down their lives for the freedom we cherish. Frankly, the mere act of putting on the uniform isn't heroic. As Americans, we have begun to overuse the word "hero." It is admirable and it is commendable when a person makes the decision to serve his or her country, and I believe that America needs more of it, but the heroes are the ones we remember on Memorial Day.


The Debt Of The United States Is At Dangerous Levels
Sam Pearson 5/26/2021 5:01 AM
We are getting into dangerous levels of Debt under President Biden's Administration. The U.S. Federal Reserve has once again ramped up its holdings of US Treasury securities as part of a broader effort to counteract the economic impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. In fact, measured in dollars, the Federal Reserve currently holds more Treasury notes and bonds than ever before.


The Coming Stock Melt Down: Part 3
Sam Pearson 5/19/2021 5:33 AM
In part 1 of this series I spoke of the coming Melt Down of stocks. I discussed that that it is the change from exuberance that causes a meltup and then it is fear that causes the meltdown as stock owners sell their stocks not wishing to weather the loss of stock values. Part 2 was a discussion of previous melt downs in US stocks and some of the causes. In Part 3, I am going to discuss some of the ways one can predict a coming melt down based on statistical analysis.


Stock Market Melt Down; Part II
Sam Pearson 5/12/2021 5:35 AM
Last week we discussed how a melt up in the stock market is soon followed by a Melt Down in stock prices. There are many ways that a meltdown is defined—some prefer to call it a crash. If one analyzes a meltdown or crash, he may see it as a stock market or a stock market index losing more than 10% of its value in a single day. Most market managers would describe the meltdown in a more general view, simply stating that a crash is a significant or dramatic loss in the stock market's value, and the prices of shares overall, usually within a short period of time. At any rate, one would likely say that a stock market meltdown/crash occurs when confidence in the value placed in publicly traded assets goes down. This causes investors to: 1) sell their positions, 2) move away from active investing, and 3) move their funds into cash or an equivalent product.


Football is a Game of Statistics
Sam Pearson 5/8/2021 2:03 PM
Being involved in the world of statistics one often attempts to establish a pattern to infer what the future may be. Recently, I began to notice that in sports one can often anticipate the outcome of a game based on the quality of recruits that a college team is able to convince to play for their school.


April Unemployment Numbers; Miss Trump Yet?
Sam Pearson 5/7/2021 2:07 PM
Let’s talk about employment in the United States. Below I have posted the April unemployment by county in the United States. What will be obvious is that democrat run communities are faring much worse than republican run communities. The US unemployment rate in the US stands at 6% which is much higher than the 3.7% prior to the COVID-19 lock downs. But it varies widely even within states as democrat run cities have an average of 9.7% unemployment while republican controlled communities average 2.8% unemployment.


Impact of COVID-19 lockdown on Continuity of Care
Sam Pearson 5/5/2021 5:08 AM
By CDC's own admission, more than 140,000,000 Americans were denied the opportunity to see their doctor during COVID-19 CMD REJECTEDs. According to CDC, “The majority of deaths occurring from COVID-19 were people who were most at risk due to age related health issues.” By not being able to see their doctors millions of these at-risk individuals suffered and studies are being done by both WHO and CDC to see what the impact was to these “High Risk” individuals.


The Coming Meltdown
Sam Pearson 4/30/2021 4:18 PM
Financial planning is but a series of mathematical formulas applied along the line of a statistical study. That being said, I have some bad news for you. I hate to say it. But it's just the nature of government interference in simple business cycles. When a stock Melt Up ends, and the Melt Down is in full effect, everyone you know will lose more on the way down than they needed to unless they have an exit plan. I hate that this will happen to a lot of great people. I know that this will even happen to many of our most educated investors. The truth is that these investors will do it to themselves.


Wuhan China Virus Statistics
Sam Pearson 4/22/2021 10:33 AM
Statistics appears to be the common denominator of understanding how and why things are as they are. For the first twenty years of my post college life I worked as a scientist or managed some activity that was science based. However, at forty years of age my job in the Army reserves was to support America’s military at the operational level. My good friend and true mathematician, Colonel (RET) Dan Lee explained, “The only difference between supporting a battalion and a theater army is scope”. That began my understanding of how to look not only what is currently needed on the battlefield but what it takes in the supply system for both men and equipment to support the strategic operation. The military has to test and identify to vendors what they need in the way of skilled individuals, their equipment, supplies and the methods to get them to the battlefield from their points of origin


 

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